Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.217997 1.490002 1.843453 2.353045 3.100159 4.213991 6.137563
2025-11-23 0.843639 1.123770 1.542137 2.264423 3.619972 6.482061 15.137810
2025-11-30 0.690975 0.974826 1.442481 2.371000 4.539881 11.229629 62.541906
2025-12-07 0.583837 0.855055 1.332384 2.380683 5.302340 18.464640 827.262085
2025-12-14 0.501778 0.753502 1.216994 2.311572 5.817240 28.644166 NaN
2025-12-21 0.444873 0.682340 1.136910 2.282529 6.479764 49.266971 NaN
2025-12-28 0.419572 0.661963 1.151136 2.503441 8.620883 188.225884 NaN
2026-01-04 0.390934 0.629585 1.130467 2.618474 10.705005 1845.019703 NaN
2026-01-11 0.359985 0.587550 1.077684 2.607180 12.142543 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.329837 0.542904 1.009431 2.512668 12.823922 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.310849 0.518314 0.984297 2.564015 15.316629 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.297370 0.503199 0.979290 2.693833 19.865181 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.279800 0.477838 0.944466 2.692098 23.133751 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.260590 0.447058 0.890487 2.584497 24.135351 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.251051 0.436165 0.887869 2.714265 32.993036 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.238979 0.418371 0.863049 2.726088 40.004679 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.225579 0.396370 0.822970 2.641867 42.883200 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.214722 0.379167 0.794176 2.606545 49.050475 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.211845 0.379747 0.817053 2.876273 95.060310 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.206054 0.372993 0.816914 3.017668 166.541112 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.197756 0.359624 0.794318 3.003758 225.600723 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.188308 0.342851 0.758931 2.887590 237.112067 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.182653 0.334700 0.749763 2.950650 432.012213 NaN NaN